COVID-19 confirmed cases over time log x log Plot June 2, 2020, to date Clark County, NV; (SNHD)

How To Tell If We're Beating COVID-19 Covid Trends (We're Number One, 12/6/2020) Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) [Southern Nevada Health District COVID-19 Resource Page] COVID-19 Dashboard (Up to the date status in Clark County, Nevada, USA) COVID-19 Maps, Reports and Trends (My source of data for descriptive statistics below) COVID-19 Weekly City Reports (Metropolitan summaries for the weekly state COVID-19 mitigation and management task force meetings, 10 AM, Thursdays, in Carson City, NV, and on ZOOM.) COVID Task Force Assessments The Nevada COVID-19 Task Force has been established to support a new county-specific approach to the state’s emergency response. The Task Force will ensure statewide adoption. At a minimum, it will be made up of heads of key state agencies, private sector representatives, and local representatives. This task force will be charged with ensuring accountability for state-level efforts, coordinating essential activities between departments, and providing a sustainable model for receiving and sharing data and vetting proposals and recommendations. ...To ensure the success of this approach, the task force shall perform the following duties: Meet on at least a weekly basis. Provide a current situation report on COVID-19 in Nevada, including weekly case numbers and county-level analysis. Provide an overview of the COVID-19 response effort in Nevada, including enforcement numbers from throughout the state and other findings. Assess county status per these guidelines and make decisions for actions to be taken over the next week. Collaborate with county representatives to determine best methods for reducing the community burden of COVID-19. Meeting Agendas and Supporting Documents (please see list at link above) My own approach My own approach has been to apply Bhatia & Reich's 2020 approach to the Southern Nevada Health Distirct's (SNHD) ZIP Code data and present a static graph of the case counts by 7-day average logrithmically with date tags to show a similar trend as their animated style. For example, this is the graph for ZIP Code 89101 (Downtown Las Vegas) from 6/2 to 12/6/2020.

For more detailed comparison, there is a view capturing the July maximums.

And, becuase of a major adjustment in one of the ZIP Codes when things were quieter in September, this one is roughly since 9/11.

Of immediate importance, with a little measurement, I've just discovered that this ZIP Code has just surpassed it's maximum in July of 2.384 (10^2.384 = 242 cases per 7-day average) on 7/21 to 2.389 (10^2.389 = 245 cases per 7-day average) on 12/6, my last available data day from the SNHD as of 7:53 AM, Tuesday, 12/8/2020. This is my concern. In July, after the city's reopening on June 4th, the cases grew exponentially to these maximums, particularly in the downtown Las Vegas ZIP Codes and older wards. The city, health district, and state helped launch an effort to mitigate this growth to bring the new cases down to a minimum of 1.556 (10^1.556 = 36 cases per 7-day average) on 9/15. Since then, the cases have grown again a little slower but more in the suburbs than downtown. Today, unfortunately, marks a measure of one of the downtown ZIPs surpassing its maximum last July. (I think 89104 passsed it's total last week.) For that, I've prepared a chart of Clark County, NV, ZIP Codes and their logrithmic counts with attention to the daily change in the 7-day average. The first max measure is from July (before 9/11) and date (for downtown Las Vegas wards), the next is after 9/11 to the last measured date (12/6). These are conditionally formatted by color for green (minimum in that range) to red (maximum in that column range). The daily columns are only white (min) to red (max).

I've got a ton of other work to do, so I have to leave it here. Peace. Here are the links at the bottom of the PDF photos. Grey zip codes defined in SNHD municipal report as Las Vegas, NV, at https://www.southernnevadahealthdistrict.org/covid-19-city-reports/ Measures are the Log base 10 of the 7-day average of new cases according to the Southern Nevada Health District (SNHD) ZIP Code Counts at https://www.southernnevadahealthdistrict.org/covid-19-case-count-archive/ Spreadsheet data storage and calcuations can be found at https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1pLjauoqU5eY0dnXDQDyr-rI3DgVGZjLG_khafqysGCY/edit?usp=sharing John A Perazzo, B.A., Mathematics, 1982, is solely repsonsible for all calculations from the SNHD data. http://jplvnv.blogspot.com/